漂流期望的原因和后果 漂流期望的原因和后果
William J Villano1, Noah I Kraus1, T Rick Reneau2
1Department of Psychology, University of Miami.
Psychological science
|June 18, 2024
概括
人们经常通过在不确定的新闻面前降低期望来"迎接最坏的情况". 这项研究表明,虽然支架可以暂时减少失望,但它阻碍了学习,并延长了不确定性.
科学领域:
- 认知心理学 认知心理学
- 神经科学是一个神经科学.
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
背景情况:
- 等待不确定的结果可能是痛苦的,因为潜在的失望.
- 人们可能可能.
- 为最坏的情况做支架.
- 通过悲观地降低预期来减少负预测误差 (PEs).
- 目前尚不清楚预期是否会在现实世界中漂移,高风险的情况以及这如何影响情绪反应和学习.
研究的目的:
- 调查预期是否在高风险环境中悲观地漂移.
- 确定影响预期偏移的因素.
- 评估期望漂移对情绪缓冲和预测基于错误的学习的影响.
主要方法:
- 在等待考试成绩的625名学生中检查了期望漂移.
- 通过不确定性分析了支架的调制.
- 评估了支架对情绪反应和从预测错误中学习的影响.
主要成果:
- 发现期望往往会漂移,并倾向于悲观地漂移.
- 紧固是优先调节的不确定性.
- 缓冲暂时缓冲负PE,但会损害后续预测基于错误的学习,维持未来的不确定性.
结论:
- 预期偏移,特别是悲观的支,是高风险情况下的常见现象.
- 虽然支架可以从负面结果中提供短期的情绪缓解,但它阻碍了适应性学习.
- 这种学习障碍可以矛盾地延长不确定性,突出了即时情绪调节和长期适应性学习之间的权衡.
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