连续的固体和植物C记录显示,自米欧纪中期以来,pCO2大幅下降
Caitlyn R Witkowski1,2, Anna S von der Heydt3, Paul J Valdes4
1Department of Marine Microbiology and Biogeochemistry, NIOZ Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Den Burg (Texel), 1790AB, The Netherlands. caitlyn.witkowski@bristol.ac.uk.
Nature communications
|June 18, 2024
概括
这项研究重建了1500万年来过去的大气二氧化碳 (pCO2) 水平,揭示了pCO2下降和全球温度之间的联系. 这些发现表明气候敏感性高于IPCC目前的估计.
科学领域:
- 古气候学 古气候学
- 地质化学 地质化学
- 气候建模气候模型
背景情况:
- 了解大气中的二氧化碳 (pCO2) 与全球温度之间的关系对于准确的气候建模至关重要.
- 过去的气候数据为预测未来气候情景提供了有价值的类比.
研究的目的:
- 为了重建过去1500万年的pCO2水平,使用一个连续的位置.
- 为近期的温度和pCO2.2提供类似物.
- 为了计算地球系统的灵敏度和平衡气候的灵敏度.
主要方法:
- 从DSDP站点467的沉积物核心中利用化石植物浮游生物中的和植物化合物.
- 重建的pCO2值从150万年前到300万年前.
- 基于重建的pCO2数据计算了地球系统灵敏度和平衡气候灵敏度.
主要成果:
- 重建的pCO2值显示在过去1500万年中从650±150 ppmv稳步下降到280±75 ppmv.
- 这种pCO2的下降反映了全球温度的下降.
- 计算的地球系统灵敏度 (13.9°C) 和平衡气候灵敏度 (7.2°C) 每倍的pCO2.
结论:
- 重建的pCO2和温度关系为长期气候动态提供了洞察力.
- 计算的气候敏感性明显高于IPCC的估计,与一些先进的气候模型和基于代理的研究保持一致.
- 这项研究为完善气候模型和理解气候敏感性提供了关键数据.
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