化石燃料利用,经济增长和城市化之间的动态联系:三区域选定的国家分析分析
Muhammad Aamir1, Jamshaid Ur Rehman2
1Department of Economics, Government College University, Lahore, Pakistan.
概括
这项研究表明,虽然经济增长,全球化和城市化对不同地区的二氧化碳排放产生影响,但具体的关系各不相同. 与亚洲和美国不同,欧洲显示经济增长和排放之间存在负相关性.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 气候变化研究 气候变化研究
- 区域经济分析 区域经济分析
背景情况:
- 全球越来越关注气候变化和环境退化.
- 承认环境挑战的重大区域异质性.
- 对环境因素的比较区域分析进行的先前研究有限.
研究的目的:
- 研究化石燃料使用,经济增长,全球化,城市化和二氧化碳排放之间的动态相互关系.
- 在考虑区域特点的情况下进行三区域比较 (美洲,欧洲,亚太地区).
- 从1990年到2021年,分析相互关联的经济和发展因素对环境的影响.
主要方法:
- 使用了CS-ARDL小组协同整合方法 (Chudik & Pesaran, 2015).
- 采用了对横截面依赖性和数据异质性的严格测试 (佩萨兰,2004年,2015年;佩萨兰,2007年).
- 纳入区域模拟器以解释区域差异.
主要成果:
- 确认了石油消费 (OC),非石油GDP (NGC),外国直接投资 (FDI) 和城市化 (UR) 之间的长期显著关系.
- 观察到化石燃料消费的不同区域模式 (亚洲的煤炭,美国的石油,欧洲的天然气).
- 在亚洲和美国发现了经济增长-二氧化碳排放的积极联系,但在欧洲是负面的;城市化持续增加了排放.
结论:
- 经济增长,全球化和城市化显著影响二氧化碳排放,区域动态不同.
- 欧洲的经济增长似乎与排放量增加无关,这表明环境政策或能源转型取得了成功.
- 外国直接投资显示出缓解二氧化碳排放的潜力,符合内生增长理论,而城市化加剧了它们.
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