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巴西亚诺玛米原住民人口的人口演变和自然增长预测
Paulo Ricardo Martins-Filho1, Francisco Helmer Almeida Santos2,3, Analany Pereira Dias Araújo2,3
1Investigative Pathology Laboratory, Federal University of Sergipe, São Cristóvão, Brazil.
Biodemography and social biology
|June 25, 2024
概括
巴西的亚诺玛米族人口正在增长,但增长速度较慢,这表明未来可能出现停滞或下降. 紧急的健康和环境干预对于它们的长期生存至关重要.
科学领域:
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 土著健康土著健康
- 环境健康 环境健康
背景情况:
- 巴西的亚诺玛米人面临严重的健康问题,包括疾病,营养不良和污染.
- 医疗保健的不足加剧了死亡率,并威胁到社区的生存.
研究的目的:
- 分析巴西亚诺玛米族人口的人口演变和自然增长.
- 预测未来亚诺玛米社区的人口趋势.
主要方法:
- 使用来自土著健康特别秘书处的人口统计数据 (2003-2022) 的生态研究.
- 分析包括人口金字塔,自然增长的原始速度,曼-肯德尔测试和线性回归.
- 使用R软件进行的统计分析.
主要成果:
- 亚诺玛米人群在2003年至2022年间呈现出大幅增长.
- 观察到自然增长率的显著下降趋势 (τ = -0.33; p = 0.047).
结论:
- 扬诺玛米人群的自然增长率正在下降,这表明在一个世纪内可能会出现停滞或下降的趋势.
- 迫切需要采取协调一致的行动,以应对延马米人可持续性面临的健康和人口挑战.
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