多阶段时间到事件模型通过分离被追踪生物的死亡过程来改善生存推断
Suresh A Sethi1,2, Alex L Koeberle3, Anna J Poulton4
1Aquatic Research and Environmental Assessment Center, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Brooklyn College, Brooklyn, NY, 11210, USA. suresh.sethi@brooklyn.cuny.edu.
Scientific reports
|June 25, 2024
概括
新的多阶段生存模型通过计算处理和释放效应,准确估计野生动物的生存率. 这些模型改善了人口监测和对标记动物死亡过程的理解.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 野生动物生物学 野生动物生物学
- 统计建模 统计建模
背景情况:
- 捕获和处理可以对标记鱼类和野生动物的生存估计产生偏见.
- 准确的生存估计对于有效的人口监测和保护至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证一个多阶段的时间到事件模型,将生存分为不同的阶段.
- 在生存分析中考虑处理,释放和自然死亡率.
主要方法:
- 在贝叶斯框架内开发了一种多阶段的时间到事件模型.
- 纳入处理/释放死亡率,释放后恢复和自然死亡率阶段.
- 使用模拟和鱼类和鸟类的遥测数据测试模型性能.
主要成果:
- 多阶段模型准确地估计了合理样本大小的生存率.
- 多模型推断有助于确定必要的生存阶段配置.
- 模型可以容纳各种类型的审查 (左,右,间隔).
结论:
- 多阶段时间到事件模型为标记种群的生存估计提供了强大的方法.
- 这些模型增强了对受研究活动影响的死亡过程的理解.
- 该框架可适应在不同种类中研究其他生物事件.
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