气候作为入侵的预测因素:揭示Carpomya vesuviana海岸的范围动态
Chuangju Feng1, Facheng Guo1, Guizhen Gao1
1College of Forestry and Landscape Architecture, Xinjiang Agricultural University, Urumqi 830052, China.
Insects
|June 26, 2024
概括
侵入性外来物种Carpomya vesuviana在全球范围内威胁着枣树. 气候变化正在扩大其范围,需要国际管理战略来保护农业和公共卫生.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 昆虫学 昆虫学是一门学科.
- 保护生物学 保护生物学
背景情况:
- 外来入侵物种 (IAS) 对生物多样性,农业,工业和人类健康构成重大威胁.
- 卡波米亚 (Carpomya) vesuviana (Diptera:Tephritidae) 是一个主要的IAS影响日物种,造成经济损失和健康问题.
研究的目的:
- 为了预测Carpomya vesuviana在全球的潜在分布.
- 确定影响其分布和影响的环境变量.
- 评估日树的威胁,并为管理策略提供信息.
主要方法:
- 用Biomod2组合模型进行分布预测.
- 采用了多变量环境相似面和最不相似的变量分析.
- 使用环境和物种数据分析了生态利基的动态.
主要成果:
- 在被入侵的地点的生态位转移增加了Carpomya vesuviana的全球入侵风险.
- 潜在的分布集中在亚洲,非洲和澳大利亚,预计将向极点转移.
- 降水量成为影响未来分布的关键因素.
结论:
- 气候变化促进了Carpomya vesuviana的范围和生态的扩大.
- 有效的跨国管理对于减轻对环境和公共健康的影响至关重要.
- 定量分析为全球枣树行业的预防和控制提供了洞察力.
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