惊喜问题和临床医生预测的预后:系统性审查和元分析
Ankit Gupta1, Ruth Burgess2, Michael Drozd3
1Leeds Institute of Medical Education, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
BMJ supportive & palliative care
|June 26, 2024
概括
"惊喜问题"在识别临近生命终点的患者方面表现出中等准确性. 需要进一步的研究来证实它在促进人们获得息护理方面的作用.
科学领域:
- 抚慰性护理是一种缓解性护理.
- 临床评估 临床评估
- 预测工具 预测工具
背景情况:
- 惊喜问题是一个简单的临床工具,用于识别可能在一年内死亡的患者.
- 它在各种医疗保健环境,专业和受访者类型中的准确性需要评估.
研究的目的:
- 系统地审查和确定惊喜问题的准确性,以预测患者的存活率.
- 评估"惊喜问题"在不同临床环境中的表现.
主要方法:
- 在主要数据库 (Medline,Embase,PubMed等) 进行了全面的文献搜索. 在2024年1月之前.
- 包括报告了关于惊喜问题的预测能力的原始数据的研究.
- 包括灵敏度,特异性和准确性在内的关键性能指标被提取和分析.
主要成果:
- 该分析包括56个队列,包括68,829名患者.
- 聚合分析显示,惊喜题的准确度为0.71.
- 在死亡率较高,随访时间较短的人群中,表现更好.
结论:
- 惊喜问题具有中等的准确性,但表现出显著的异质性.
- 建议进行进一步的前性研究,以探索其在改善人们获得息护理方面的有用性.
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