实现碳中和:揭示中国电力系统中关键矿物质的限制
Wendong Wei1,2,3, Zewen Ge4, Yong Geng1,2,3
1School of International and Public Affairs, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai 200030, China.
Fundamental research
|June 27, 2024
概括
中国中国中国中国.
科学领域:
- 能源政策 能源政策
- 材料科学 材料科学 材料科学
- 环境科学 环境科学
背景情况:
- 中国的碳中和目标需要大幅度的能源转型.
- 电力行业对于减排至关重要.
- 关键矿物质对于这种能源转型至关重要,但面临供应不确定性.
研究的目的:
- 根据各种情景,预测中国电力部门的关键矿产需求.
- 分析基本矿物的供应,需求和生产能力.
- 对于有针对性的战略,将矿物质分类为优质或稀缺的.
主要方法:
- 使用了动态材料流分析 (DMFA).
- 对矿产需求和供应进行了基于场景的预测.
- 关键矿物质根据可用性和需求进行分类.
主要成果:
- 预计到2060年,矿物质供应总量将不足以满足需求 (74,260公).
- 预计关键矿物质,如 (Cr),铜 (Cu), (Mn),银 (Ag), (Te), (Ga) 和 (Co),将出现严重的短缺.
- 可再生能源的需求将激增,推动不同的矿物需求.
结论:
- 中国在实现碳中和方面面临着关键的矿物供应挑战.
- 积极的政策对于缓解资源短缺至关重要.
- 建议包括战略储备,材料替代和循环经济原则.
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