为80岁及以上的成年人提供部骨折风险评估工具
Kristine E Ensrud1,2,3, John T Schousboe4,5, Carolyn J Crandall6
1Division of Epidemiology and Community Health, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis.
JAMA network open
|June 28, 2024
概括
像FRAX和Garvan这样的骨折风险评估工具没有改善80岁以上成年人的部骨折预测. 仅仅是股骨部骨矿物质密度 (FNBMD) 是一个更好的预测指标,尽管临床医生应该考虑骨质密度,预期寿命和患者的偏好.
科学领域:
- 老年学是一门学科.
- 整形外科 整形外科 整形外科
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 80岁及以上的成年人经历了大量的关节骨折.
- 目前的骨折风险评估工具在老年人群中表现不确定.
研究的目的:
- 为了比较仅使用骨折风险评估工具 (FRAX),Garvan骨折风险计算器和大腿骨矿物质密度 (FNBMD) 的5年部骨折预测准确度.
- 评估这些工具在80岁及以上的成年人中的效果.
主要方法:
- 对3项前性队列研究的预测分析,涉及8890名80岁以上的参与者.
- 使用FRAX和Garvan模型 (带有和没有FNBMD) 计算5年关节骨折概率.
- 评估模型使用AUC进行区分,并通过比较观察和预测的概率进行校准.
主要成果:
- 仅仅部部骨矿物质密度 (FNBMD) 在女性和男性中,与FRAX和Garvan相比,显示出优异的歧视.
- 在中等风险个体中,FRAX适度低于预测的关节骨折风险.
- 加尔文明显高估了高风险个体的关节骨折风险.
结论:
- 无论是FRAX还是Garvan,即使结合FNBMD,在80岁以上的成年人中,与单独使用FNBMD相比,FRAX和Garvan都没有改善5年关节骨折预测.
- 临床医生应考虑FNBMD,预期寿命和患者的偏好,以决定在老年人中预防关节骨折.
- 为老年人开发改进的骨折预测工具是有必要的.
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