在可持续发展游戏中平衡长期和短期战略
Francesco Bertolotti1, Sabin Roman2
1School of Industrial Engineering, LIUC Università Cattaneo, Castellanza, Province of Varese, Italy.
iScience
|July 1, 2024
概括
本研究探讨了短期经济增长与长期可持续性之间的冲突. 系统崩取决于资源的可用性和信息的使用,为可持续管理提供了洞察力.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 系统理论系统理论
- 游戏理论 游戏理论
背景情况:
- 社会面临的是短期经济目标与长期可持续性之间的冲突.
- 保持系统可行性需要了解可持续性问题如何演变.
研究的目的:
- 通过使用游戏理论,分析可持续性问题随时间的变化.
- 使用基于代理的方法来建模短期目标和可持续性之间的紧张关系.
- 调查个别行动对系统级可持续性的影响.
主要方法:
- 一个游戏理论方法来模拟不断变化的可持续性问题.
- 一个基于代理的模型 (ABM) 来模拟个别行动和系统可持续性的相互作用.
- 模拟结果的分析,以确定影响系统可行性的因素.
主要成果:
- 系统崩受到资源可用性和信息处理的影响.
- 个别行动显著影响整体系统的可持续性.
- 可持续性问题的动态影响到最终的系统状态.
结论:
- 需要有效的管理策略来平衡短期需求与长期可持续性.
- 信息化资源管理和信息利用对于防止系统崩至关重要.
- 了解个人行为和资源可用性之间的反循环是可持续系统的关键.
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