在不同地磁场强度下的极端太阳粒子事件的全球影响
Pavle Arsenović1,2, Eugene Rozanov3,4, Ilya Usoskin5
1Institute of Meteorology and Climatology, Department of Water, Atmosphere, and Environment, BOKU University, Vienna 1180, Austria.
概括
极端太阳粒子事件 (SPEs) 可以严重耗尽平流层臭氧,并增加地面紫外线辐射,特别是在地磁场减弱的情况下. 这些事件对人类健康和生物生命构成低估的风险.
科学领域:
- 空间物理 空间物理
- 大气化学 大气化学
- 气候科学 气候科学
背景情况:
- 太阳粒子事件 (SPEs) 是高能粒子的爆发,有可能对社会和环境产生重大影响.
- 历史上的SPE表明极端事件可以改变大气化学,气候和生物生命,在弱化的地磁场期间效应会放大.
研究的目的:
- 模拟极端SPE对大气化学和不同地磁场强度下的表面辐射的影响.
- 评估由具有或没有地磁场的SPEs引起的臭氧损耗和紫外线辐射增加的严重程度.
主要方法:
- 使用大气-海洋-化学-气候模型SOCOL3-MPIOM和辐射转移模型LibRadtran进行模拟.
- 在当前和缺席的地磁场条件下建模了一个极端的SPE场景.
主要成果:
- 在当前条件下,极端的SPE导致极地平流层NOx增加和外热带臭氧减少约1年.
- 在没有地磁场的情况下,SPE导致大气中NOx的广泛增加,多年来严重的臭氧消耗,以及地面紫外线辐射的增加 (20-25%的增加).
- 升高的紫外线水平导致太阳引起的DNA损伤率增加了40-50%.
结论:
- 地球的地磁场显著减轻了极端SPEs对大气和表面的影响.
- 现代社会可能低估了极端SPEs所带来的风险,特别是有关臭氧消耗,紫外线辐射增加和潜在的进化影响.
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