碳循环模型高估了成熟的树森林中CO2丰富反应
Mingkai Jiang1,2, Belinda E Medlyn2, David Wårlind3
1College of Life Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310000, China.
Science advances
|July 3, 2024
概括
(P) 循环模型准确地预测了在二氧化碳 (CO2) 增加下生态系统的碳封存,但往往高估了植物生长. 在建模工厂-P相互作用和碳分配方面需要改进.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 气候变化科学 气候变化科学
- 生物地质化学生物地质化学
背景情况:
- (P) 对于生态系统对气候变化的反应至关重要.
- 越来越多地在土地表面模型中采用P周期.
- 对二氧化碳影响的模型预测缺乏经验评估.
研究的目的:
- 对实验数据进行P-enabled陆地表面模型的评估.
- 评估模型在预测二氧化碳对生态系统碳动态的影响方面的准确性.
- 确定改善生态系统CP交互模型的领域.
主要方法:
- 数据驱动的模型评估.
- 将八个P-enabled模型的模拟与实验观测对比起来.
- 利用P限制的树林中长期自由空气CO2丰富实验的数据.
主要成果:
- 大多数模型正确预测了二氧化碳对生态系统碳捕获的影响的标志和程度.
- 模型通常高估了二氧化碳对植物碳吸收和生长的影响.
- 模型改进的关键领域包括树叶到树冠的缩放,石化测量,地下分配和植物微生物相互作用.
结论:
- 数据模型相互比较提供了对P-enabled模型性能的见解.
- 生态系统C-P相互作用的模型需要改进.
- 现有证据表明,全球二氧化碳驱动的碳汇可能被模型高估.
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