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2000年至2021年气候相关灾害的全球趋势和流行病学概况
Andrea Fernández García1, Rick Kye Gan1, José Antonio Cernuda Martínez1
1Unit for Research in Emergency and Disaster, Department of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, University of Oviedo, Oviedo, Spain.
Tropical medicine & international health : TM & IH
|July 4, 2024
概括
全球气候灾害,特别是水文事件的发生频率正在增加,但死亡率却没有增加. 改善灾害准备能力可能解释了气候相关事件最近的不显著趋势.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 灾害管理 灾害管理
背景情况:
- 与气候有关的灾害给全球健康和经济带来了重大挑战.
- 了解流行病学趋势对于有效减少灾害风险至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析全球气候相关灾害的流行病学概况 (2000-2021年).
- 检查与这些事件相关的患病率和死亡率的时间趋势.
- 将最近的趋势与历史数据 (1978-2000) 进行比较.
主要方法:
- 对2000-2021年气候相关灾害的横截面分析.
- 使用了联合国减少灾害战略和灾害流行病学研究中心的定义.
- 数据来源于EM-DAT数据库.
主要成果:
- 记录了7398起与气候有关的灾害;水文事件最常见.
- 受影响个体和人均伤害的显著差异.
- 频率上升的趋势 (1978-2021年),但从2000年开始没有显著下降.
结论:
- 水文灾害是最常见和最致命的;气候灾害造成的伤害最多.
- 缺乏标准化的数据库标准阻碍了趋势分析.
- 统一的标准对于有效的灾害数据分析和管理至关重要.
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