基于模拟的方法来研究循环经济中反弹效应的动态:以使用为导向的产品/服务系统的案例
Julija Metic1, Daniel Guzzo1, Birgit Kopainsky2
1Technical University of Denmark (DTU), Department of Civil and Mechanical Engineering, Kongens Lyngby, Denmark.
Journal of environmental management
|July 4, 2024
概括
循环经济 (CE) 研究经常忽视反弹效应 (RE). 本研究引入了系统动力学 (SD) 方法,以识别和减轻CE倡议中的RE,改善可持续性结果.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 系统工程 系统工程
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
背景情况:
- 目前的循环经济 (CE) 研究不足以解决反弹效应 (RE),这可能会破坏可持续发展目标.
- 可再生能源是系统和行为反应,抵消了可持续性干预的预期好处.
- 在CE中缺乏RE的预先识别方法,阻碍了有效的战略制定.
研究的目的:
- 在CE倡议中推进对RE的学术和实践理解.
- 探索系统动力学 (SD) 在实施CE干预之前识别潜在的RE的潜力.
- 提出并展示基于模拟的方法来识别和减轻可再生能源.
主要方法:
- 开发了一种基于模拟的五阶段方法,称为AIMRE (反弹效应识别和缓解方法).
- 系统动力学 (SD) 建模用于模拟复杂的相互作用.
- AIMRE方法被应用到一个以使用为导向的产品/服务系统 (PSS) 案例研究中,该案例涉及一家高端服装租服务.
主要成果:
- 通过AIMRE方法,通过14个不同的场景,成功地代表了RE发生的规模和原因.
- 模拟突出了消费者和公司决策过程之间的关键相互作用.
- 了解这种相互作用对于准确量化,理解和减轻可再生能源至关重要.
结论:
- 考虑到消费者和企业行为之间的动态相互作用,对于CE的有效RE缓解至关重要.
- 拟议的AIMRE方法,利用SD,为在CE中预先评估可再生能源提供了一个有价值的工具.
- 这项研究强调了需要采用综合方法,以考虑行为因素来实现CE的可持续性.
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