在西藏高原确定野生雅克 (Bos mutus) 的气候避难所
Hang Zhao1, Hongyi Cheng1, Nai'ang Wang1
1College of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Center for Glacier and Desert Research, Scientific Observing Station for Desert and Glacier, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China.
Journal of environmental management
|July 9, 2024
概括
气候变化威胁着野生雅克 (Bos mutus) 的息地. 三个稳定的气候避难区仍然存在,但在没有加强保护工作的情况下,到2070年预计将出现息地丧失和碎片化.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 气候变化生物学 气候变化生物学
- 保护科学 保护科学
背景情况:
- 阿尔卑斯山的生态系统和居民类动物,如野 (Bos mutus),面临着气候变化的威胁.
- 了解气候变化对野生雅克息地分布和气候避难所的影响对于保护至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 在过去,现在和未来的气候场景下模拟野生雅克息地范围.
- 确定持续的气候难民,并评估潜在的息地丧失和碎片化.
主要方法:
- 使用了1000多个事件记录和最大 (MaxEnt) 算法来模拟息地.
- 使用综合建模方法 (MaxEnt-Zonation-Linkage Mapper-FRAGSTAT) 来分析息地联系和保护效率.
主要成果:
- 确定了野生雅克的三个关键气候避难所,从最后的冰川最大期 (LGM) 持续到2070年,占目前息地的64%.
- 预计到2070年,在昆,亨杜安,吉利安和唐古拉-喜马拉雅山脉地区,将出现显著的息地丧失和碎片化.
- 在南方的唐古拉和北方的喜马拉雅山脉观察到越来越多的人为影响.
结论:
- 西藏高原独特的高山特征支持稳定的野气候避难所.
- 迫切需要加强保护,跨境合作和社区参与,以保护野生.
- 建模方法对于确定优先保护区和评估保护战略有效性是有价值的.
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