热暴露对城市健康的影响:元分析
Xudong Yang1, Xingyuan Xu2, Yize Wang3
1Department of Earth System Science, Institute for Global Change Studies, Ministry of Education Ecological Field Station for East Asian Migratory Birds, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
The Science of the total environment
|July 10, 2024
概括
城市气温上升显著增加与疾病相关的死亡率和发病率. 热浪也会增加健康风险,其中包括中国.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 由于气温上升,城市地区面临着不断升级的健康风险,这是一个关键的全球公共卫生问题.
- 气候变化和全球变暖正在加剧热量对城市人口的影响.
研究的目的:
- 进行一项元分析,评估温暖天气对城市环境健康的影响.
- 评估与高温和热浪相关的疾病结果的相对风险.
主要方法:
- 在PubMed,Embase,Scopus和Web of Science进行全面的文献搜索,截至2023年9月6日.
- 包括使用高温或热浪作为暴露指标的原始观察性研究.
- 使用导航指南标准和元分析来确定相对风险的质量评估.
主要成果:
- 温度上升1°C与与疾病相关的死亡率上升2.1% (RR 1.021) 和发病率上升1.1% (RR 1.011) 相关.
- 热浪与总死亡率 (RR 1.224) 和发病率 (RR 1.038) 的增加有关.
- 在各种疾病,人口统计,气候和国家中,风险增加是一致的,在中国和2007年后观察到的风险更高.
结论:
- 气温上升和热浪与城市人口的不良健康结果正面相关.
- 高温在不同的人口和环境中放大健康风险,由于全球变暖,风险可能会增加.
- 需要进一步的研究来了解影响改变热暴露影响的因素.
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