阿根廷出生队列的吸烟模式:一个基于年龄,时期和队列的人口建模研究
M Victoria Salgado1,2, Yoonseo Mok3, Jihyoun Jeon4
1Centro de Estudios de Estado y Sociedad, Sánchez de Bustamante 27, Ciudad de Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Lancet regional health. Americas
|July 15, 2024
概括
阿根廷最近的出生队列显示,吸烟的开始和流行率正在下降. 然而,稳定的戒烟率表明需要加强烟草控制措施,以应对持续的吸烟强度.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
背景情况:
- 阿根廷面临着持续高的吸烟率.
- 了解吸烟动态对于有效的公共卫生政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 通过阿根廷出生队列来估计特定年龄的吸烟开始,戒烟,流行率和强度.
- 为控制烟草的有针对性的政策干预提供信息.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自阿根廷三个国家调查的数据 (2004-2018,n=268,193).
- 应用癌症干预和监测建模 (CISNET) 网络年龄,时期和队列建模.
- 根据年龄,性别和出生队列 (1950-2018) 计算吸烟开始/戒烟概率,流行率和强度 (CPD).
主要成果:
- 开始吸烟的年龄在15-18岁之间达到顶峰.
- 随着年龄的增长,一直吸烟的流行率会增加,在1990年后的队列中减少.
- 在最近的队列中,目前的吸烟率下降,但平均每天吸烟量 (CPD) 保持稳定.
- 停止随着年龄的增长而增加,在最近的女性队伍中稳定.
结论:
- 最近的阿根廷出生队伍表现出较低的吸烟开始和流行率.
- 稳定的戒烟率和吸烟强度需要加强烟草控制战略.
- 对群体特定的吸烟行为进行进一步的研究对于公共卫生方面的进步至关重要.
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