调查中的投票率差距:解释和解决方案
Matthew DeBell1, Jon A Krosnick1, Katie Gera1
1Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
概括
选举后的调查高估了选民投票率. 这项研究分析了主要调查中的投票率差距,确定了影响准确度的面试模式和问题措辞等因素.
科学领域:
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 调查方法 调查方法
- 公众论研究 公众论研究
背景情况:
- 选举后的调查总是高估了选民投票率,造成了显著的投票率差距.
- 了解这种差异对于准确分析选民参与度至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为了全面记录三个主要的美国调查中的投票率差距.
- 为了评估调查过度估计选民投票率的解释.
- 为测量调查参与率提出改进建议.
主要方法:
- 对一般社会调查 (GSS),当前人口调查 (CPS) 和美国全国选举研究 (ANES) 的投票率差距的分析.
- 评估影响准确度的因素,包括面试模式 (面对面与电话),最近的选举,问题措辞和报告类型 (自我与代理).
主要成果:
- 面对面的采访和关于最近的选举的问题显示出更高的准确性.
- 具体的问题措辞减少了社会可取性偏见,提高了准确性.
- 代理报告显示报道的投票率低于自我报告,这可能表明准确性更高.
结论:
- 调查模式,问题设计和报告方法显著影响投票率测量的准确性.
- 非选民的调查参与率较低可能会导致投票率差距.
- 需要改进的调查方法来提高选民投票率的准确测量.
相关概念视频
Surveys
14.7K
Often, psychologists develop surveys as a means of gathering data. Surveys are lists of questions to be answered by research participants, and can be delivered as paper-and-pencil questionnaires, administered electronically, or conducted verbally. Generally, the survey itself can be completed in a short time, and the ease of administering a survey makes it easy to collect data from a large number of people.
14.7K
Errors and Mistakes in Surveying
65
Errors and mistakes in surveying refer to inaccuracies in measurements and data recording. The errors are deviations from the actual value caused by human sensory limitations, equipment flaws, or environmental effects. These errors are typically unintentional and can result from the inherent imperfections in the instruments used, atmospheric conditions, or the observer’s inability to perceive exact measurements. On the other hand, mistakes are caused by the surveyor's lack of...
65
Adjusting a Traverse
56
In the site survey of a four-sided traverse, internal angles are essential to ensure geometric accuracy. The survey revealed that the sum of the measured internal angles was 359 degrees and 48 minutes, which is 12 minutes less than the expected 360 degrees. This discrepancy signals an error likely arising from measurement inaccuracies during the fieldwork.To rectify this error, the adjustment process involved distributing the 12-minute shortfall equally across the four internal angles. By...
56
Choosing Between z and t Distribution
2.8K
The z and the Student t distribution estimate the population mean using the sample mean and standard deviation. However, to decide which distribution to use for a calculation, one needs to determine the sample size, the nature of the distribution, and whether the population standard deviation is known. If the population standard deviation is known and the population is normally distributed, or if the sample size is greater than 30, the z distribution is preferred. The Student t distribution is...
2.8K
Testing a Claim about Population Proportion
3.3K
A complete procedure for testing a claim about a population proportion is provided here.
There are two methods of testing a claim about a population proportion: (1) Using the sample proportion from the data where a binomial distribution is approximated to the normal distribution and (2) Using the binomial probabilities calculated from the data.
The first method uses normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution. The requirements are as follows: sample size is large...
There are two methods of testing a claim about a population proportion: (1) Using the sample proportion from the data where a binomial distribution is approximated to the normal distribution and (2) Using the binomial probabilities calculated from the data.
The first method uses normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution. The requirements are as follows: sample size is large...
3.3K
Types of Surveys
45
Surveys are essential for marking property boundaries near water bodies. Different types of surveys are defined, each with its own function. Land surveys mark the property boundaries, while route surveys determine the position of properties on nearby highways. Topographic surveys create maps by capturing the three-dimensional features of the land. Hydrographic surveys focus on the shapes of underwater areas and the movement of streams through the properties. Mine surveys determine the relative...
45


