覆盖范围的间隔
Sara Stoudt1, Adam Pintar2, Antonio Possolo1
1Smith College, Northampton, MA 01063, USA.
概括
本研究澄清了测量不确定性的覆盖间隔,将其与统计间隔进行比较. 它解决了对蒙特卡洛方法结果的误解,以实现现实的期望和实际使用.
科学领域:
- 计量学和测量科学 计量学和测量科学
- 应用统计学应用统计学
- 科学不确定性量化定量化
背景情况:
- 覆盖间隔是表达测量不确定性的标准.
- 现有的文献经常误解从蒙特卡洛方法 (GUM-S1) 衍生的间隔.
研究的目的:
- 审查和比较GUM覆盖区间与常见的统计区间.
- 为了解决和澄清有关GUM-S1蒙特卡洛区间的常见误解.
- 为实践应用提出GUM-S1间隔的新解释.
主要方法:
- 关于表达测量不确定性 (GUM) 定义的指南的审查.
- 对覆盖区间与信心区间,可信区间和容忍区间进行比较分析.
- 专注于解释来自蒙特卡洛模拟 (GUM-S1) 的间隔.
主要成果:
- 覆盖区间,虽然在形式上与置信区间相似,但在GUM中解释不同.
- 对GUM-S1蒙特卡洛区间的常见解释可能会导致不切实际的期望.
- 提出了一种新的解释,以提高GUM-S1间隔的理解和实用性.
结论:
- 澄清覆盖区间的解释,特别是来自GUM-S1的覆盖区间,对于准确的不确定性评估至关重要.
- 拟议的解释旨在培养现实的期望,并指导这些间隔的实际应用.
- 更好地了解GUM-S1间隔可以提高它们在测量科学中的有用性.
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