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离岸CCUS项目的投资决策框架在区间估值的模糊环境下
Qinghua Mao1, Yaqing Gao1, Jiacheng Fan1
1School of Economics and Management, Yanshan University, Qinhuangdao, People's Republic of China.
Environmental technology
|July 17, 2024
概括
本研究引入了一个新的框架,用于对离岸碳捕获,利用和储存 (CCUS) 项目的投资决策. 它使用先进的模糊集方法来解决不确定性,以确保这一至关重要的净零技术的可持续发展.
科学领域:
- 环境科学与工程环境科学与工程
- 决策科学 决策科学 决策科学
- 模糊的数学 模糊的数学
背景情况:
- 离岸碳捕获,利用和储存 (CCUS) 对于实现净零排放至关重要,但仍处于早期阶段.
- 离岸CCUS的可持续发展需要一个强大的投资决策框架.
- 现有的决策方法很难充分解决复杂项目固有的模两可和不确定性.
研究的目的:
- 为海上CCUS项目开发一个全面的投资决策框架.
- 系统地处理信息模两可和不确定性,使用区间值固态模糊集 (IVFFS).
- 提供实际的管理见解,并确定离岸CCUS的关键投资标准.
主要方法:
- 建立了一个全面的评估标准系统.
- 使用区间值的固态模糊集 (IVFFS) 和用于专家权重计算的扩展方差方法.
- 采用功率加权平均 (PWA) 运算符进行信息聚合,使用FWZIC和MEREC方法进行标准加权,以及使用Hamacher运算符的MARCOS方法进行最佳替代选择.
主要成果:
- 为离岸CCUS项目开发和应用了一种新的投资决策框架.
- 该框架通过敏感性和比较分析证明了它的稳定性和可行性.
- 确定了对投资敏感的关键标准,提供了有价值的管理见解.
结论:
- 拟议的框架为离岸CCUS项目投资决策提供了科学方法.
- 它扩大了决策方法在模糊环境中的应用.
- 为参与离岸CCUS投资的经理提供了宝贵的参考资料.
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