心脏病评分系统作为老年COVID-19患者死亡率的预测指标
Yudi Her Oktaviono1, Makhyan Jibril Al Farabi2, Aurelia Regina3
1Department of Nursing Management, Universitas Airlangga, Surabaya,.
JPMA. The Journal of the Pakistan Medical Association
|July 17, 2024
概括
一个新的心脏评分系统可以预测冠状病毒疾病-2019 (COVID-19) 的老年患者的死亡率. 该工具使用心电图的发现来识别住院期间高危人群.
科学领域:
- 心脏病学 心脏病学
- 老年病的医生 老年病的医生
- 传染性疾病 传染性疾病
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 冠状病毒疾病-2019 (COVID-19) 构成显著的死亡风险,特别是在老年人群中.
- 在严重的COVID-19病例中经常观察到心脏并发症,影响预后.
- 需要有效的工具来识别高风险的老年COVID-19患者,以便及时干预.
研究的目的:
- 开发和验证心脏学评分系统,用于预测COVID-19诊断的老年患者的死亡率.
- 确定特定的心电图 (ECG) 发现,与此人口中死亡风险增加有关.
- 为临床医生提供一个实用的工具,以评估老年COVID-19患者的预后.
主要方法:
- 2020年3月至2021年4月期间入院的老年COVID-19患者的回顾性队列研究.
- 分析临床数据,并发症,心电图和胸部X射线发现.
- 基于通过统计分析确定的显著预测因素的评分系统的开发 (SPSS 26).
主要成果:
- 分析了322名老年COVID-19患者 (平均年龄66岁) 的数据;17.1%的人在住院期间死亡.
- 确定了五个重要的心脏变量:心脏壮大,鼻高心率,ST段异常,病态T波逆转和轴偏差.
- 开发的评分系统显示曲线下面的面积为0.86,切线≤4,为死亡率预测提供89%的灵敏度和69%的特异性.
结论:
- 一个新的心脏病评分系统有效预测老年COVID-19患者的死亡率.
- 该系统利用在住院期间随时可用的心脏病发现.
- 这种工具有可能改善老年COVID-19病例的风险分层和患者管理.
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