电力供应中断阻碍了中国城市的电动汽车采用
Yueming Lucy Qiu1, Nana Deng2,3, Bo Wang4,5
1School of Public Policy, University of Maryland at College Park, College Park, MD, 20742, USA. yqiu16@umd.edu.
Nature communications
|July 17, 2024
概括
停电严重阻碍了电动汽车的普及. 增加的停电减少了新的电动汽车购买,影响了碳减排目标,并突出了对弹性电力基础设施的需求.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 能源政策 能源政策
- 运输研究 运输研究
背景情况:
- 深度脱碳的努力越来越依赖于电气化.
- 电气化和电力基础设施发展面临着共同的挑战.
- 可靠的电力基础设施对于电动汽车 (EV) 的广泛采用至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 实证地调查电力基础设施故障对电动汽车采用的影响.
- 量化中国停电和电动汽车普及之间的关系.
- 为政策讨论提供有关电力中断的经济和环境成本的信息.
主要方法:
- 利用了全国范围内有关中国停电和电动汽车普及的数据.
- 采用计量经济学分析来评估中断频率与新EV注册之间的相关性.
- 计算了停电对碳减排效益的长期影响.
主要成果:
- 每个地区每月停电量增加1%与每月新电动汽车采用量下降0.99%相关.
- 全国范围内停电的翻倍可能会抑制电动汽车采用率长达10年.
- 这种压制意味着电动汽车每年损失超过3130万美元的碳减排效益.
结论:
- 电力基础设施的可靠性是成功电气化的关键决定因素.
- 由于极端天气导致的停电频率增加,对脱碳目标构成重大威胁.
- 需要紧急的政策干预,以提高电网的弹性,并支持广泛采用电动汽车.
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