相关实验视频
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An R-Based Landscape Validation of a Competing Risk Model
Published on: September 16, 2022
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巴基斯坦铁路网络的综合风险评估:一个半定量风险矩阵方法
Sadiq Khan1, Amjad Pervez1, Yinggui Zhang1
1School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Central South University, Changsha, 410075, China.
Heliyon
|July 18, 2024
概括
由于越来越多的事故,巴基斯坦铁路 (PR) 面临安全问题. 一项风险评估确定了人为错误,轨道缺陷和水平交叉路口碰撞是需要紧急缓解策略的关键风险.
科学领域:
- 运输安全运输安全
- 风险管理 风险管理
- 铁路运营 铁路运营
背景情况:
- 巴基斯坦铁路 (PR) 对国家运输至关重要.
- 公共交通事故发生率不断上升,需要开展安全调查.
- 关于公共交通事故原因的先前研究有限.
研究的目的:
- 对巴基斯坦铁路进行全面的风险评估.
- 评估PR的安全管理策略.
- 确定关键的风险区域和导致铁路事故的因素.
主要方法:
- 使用了一种半定量风险矩阵方法.
- 结合历史事故数据与专家评估.
- 对事故类型和原因进行了描述性统计分析.
主要成果:
- 列车脱轨和水平交叉路口碰撞是极端的风险.
- 人类错误是一个极端的风险;轨道缺陷和道路使用者的疏忽是高风险.
- 确定了关键风险区域,以优先考虑缓解努力.
结论:
- 建议对基础设施 (轨道,桥梁,道) 的升级进行投资.
- 加强铁路人员的人力资源发展至关重要.
- 政策影响侧重于有针对性的风险减轻和改进的安全协议.
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