美国四个城市的温度和枪支暴力:测试竞争假设
Brady Bushover1, Christina A Mehranbod2, Leah E Roberts2
1Department of Epidemiology, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA bb2976@cumc.columbia.edu.
概括
较高的温度与枪支暴力的增加有关. 这项研究支持温度侵略理论,表明热量直接影响暴力事件.
科学领域:
- 环境犯罪学环境犯罪学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 在美国,枪支暴力是严重的公共卫生问题.
- 有证据表明,环境温度升高与枪支暴力事件之间存在关联.
研究的目的:
- 为了调查温度和枪支暴力之间的关系.
- 测试温度侵略理论与日常活动理论的对比.
主要方法:
- 分析了芝加哥,辛辛那提,纽约和费城的枪击事件.
- 使用的每日最高温度及其与30年平均值的偏差.
- 采用了通用的线性自回归移动平均模型.
主要成果:
- 枪击事件的增加与四个城市每日最高温度的偏差有关.
- 在每日最高温度和射击发生率之间发现了显著的正相关性.
- 一个相互作用术语也显示出积极的关联,加强了温度与暴力的联系.
结论:
- 这些发现与先前关于温度和枪支暴力的研究一致.
- 结果进一步支持温度侵略理论作为主要驱动因素.
- 该研究强调了环境因素对暴力犯罪的影响.
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