量化中国偏见的技术进步:异质的人力资本和劳动力动力学
Xiuli Cui1, Ehsan Elahi1, Bo Xu2
1School of Economics, Shandong University of Technology, Zibo, 255049, China.
Heliyon
|July 19, 2024
概括
中国劳动力和人力资本的多样性对经济增长产生了定量影响. 考虑到这些因素,可以增加替代弹性,减少技术进步的偏差,提高生产率.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
- 技术进步 技术进步
背景情况:
- 中国的经济增长受到技术进步的影响.
- 了解因素替代和技术偏见对于政策至关重要.
- 之前的研究通常假定劳动力和人力资本是均的.
研究的目的:
- 估计中国技术进步有偏见,人力资本和劳动力异质.
- 量化这种异质性对替代弹性和技术偏差的影响.
- 比较增长率的人力资本增加与劳动力增加技术进步.
主要方法:
- 雇员受限的看似无关的回归 (SUR).
- 利用了1985年至2021年的省级面板数据.
- 估计与不考虑异质性的估计进行比较.
主要成果:
- 资本-劳动 (人力资本) 替代弹性为0.7-0.8,表明互补性.
- 异质性在数量上增加了替代弹性,并减少了技术进步的偏见.
- 人力资本增加的技术进步增长率明显低于劳动力增加的增长率.
结论:
- 人力资本和劳动力的异质性显著影响经济增长估计.
- 政策应优先考虑人力资本投资和技术升级.
- 重新平衡技术进步是推动中国生产率增长的关键.
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