非正规部门在发展中国家打击失业方面的作用:一项建模研究
A K Misra1, Mamta Kumari1, Mohammad Sajid2
1Department of Mathematics, Institute of Science, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi - 221 005, India.
Heliyon
|July 19, 2024
概括
促进非正规部门的自雇是减少发展中国家失业率的关键. 这项研究模拟了工作动态,以寻找创造就业和稳定劳动力的最佳策略.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 数学建模的数学建模
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 非正规部门是发展中国家的主要雇主.
- 了解其对失业动态的影响对于经济政策至关重要.
- 现有的模型可能无法完全捕捉非正式劳动力市场的复杂性.
研究的目的:
- 分析非正规部门就业对发展中国家失业率动态的影响.
- 开发一个包括非正式部门在内的劳动力动力学的数学模型.
- 提出最佳的政府政策,以提高就业.
主要方法:
- 制定一个非线性数学模型,包括失业者,就业者和自雇者等级.
- 使用动态系统定性理论进行分析.
- 导出一个复制数来确定就业创造率,以确保系统稳定.
- 为制定政策战略制定最佳控制问题.
主要成果:
- 复制数的变化会导致分叉 (跨临界,结),表明系统的灵敏度.
- 促进非正规部门的自雇是有效的创造就业的战略.
- 数字验证证实了关于减少失业率的分析结果.
结论:
- 数学建模提供了对非正规部门就业动态和失业率的见解.
- 专注于促进自雇者的政策干预可以显著降低失业率.
- 该研究为优化发展中国家政府战略提供了一个框架.
相关概念视频
Econometric Views (EViews)
135
Econometric Views, often stylized as EViews, is a package that merges statistical analysis with econometric studies. It is designed to provide tools for time series analysis, forecasting, and econometric model simulation. The software originated from MicroTSP software and has evolved significantly since its inception in 1981. The history of EViews is marked by a continuous effort to enhance its computational speed and user interface. It was initially developed for large computing systems but...
135
Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Individual and Population Analysis
36
Mechanistic models are utilized in individual analysis using single-source data, but imperfections arise due to data collection errors, preventing perfect prediction of observed data. The mathematical equation involves known values (Xi), observed concentrations (Ci), measurement errors (εi), model parameters (ϕj), and the related function (ƒi) for i number of values. Different least-squares metrics quantify differences between predicted and observed values. The ordinary least...
36
Quantifying Work
19.3K
As a system undergoes a change, its internal energy can change, and energy can be transferred from the system to the surroundings, or from the surroundings to the system.
19.3K
Applications of Life Tables
58
Life tables are versatile across various fields, providing a quantitative basis for analyzing mortality and survival rates. Whether used by demographers, actuaries, epidemiologists, or sociologists, life tables offer valuable insights into the dynamics of life and death, facilitating informed decisions in public health, insurance, conservation, and beyond. Their broad applicability highlights the interconnectedness of demographic data with practical outcomes in everyday life and strategic...
58
Clearance Models: Noncompartmental Models
57
Clearance is a pharmacokinetic parameter traditionally defined by compartment models, signifying the rate at which a drug is expelled from the body. However, a noncompartmental model offers an alternative method for assessing clearance, primarily employing empirical data obtained after administering a single drug dose.
The noncompartmental approach capitalizes on extensive sampling data, correlating the volume of distribution to systemic exposure and the administered dosage. This method enables...
The noncompartmental approach capitalizes on extensive sampling data, correlating the volume of distribution to systemic exposure and the administered dosage. This method enables...
57
Actuarial Approach
72
The actuarial approach, a statistical method originally developed for life insurance risk assessment, is widely used to calculate survival rates in clinical and population studies. This method accounts for participants lost to follow-up or those who die from causes unrelated to the study, ensuring a more accurate representation of survival probabilities.
Consider the example of a high-risk surgical procedure with significant early-stage mortality. A two-year clinical study is conducted,...
Consider the example of a high-risk surgical procedure with significant early-stage mortality. A two-year clinical study is conducted,...
72


