在紧急情况下提高公路运输安全弹性:基于网络的分析和评估
Xue Zhang1,2, Yi Lu1, Jie Wang1
1School of Traffic &Transportation Engineering, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha, Hunan, China.
PloS one
|July 19, 2024
概括
这项研究开发了一种层次网络模型,用于评估高速公路运输在紧急情况下的弹性. 模糊分析层次过程 (FAHP) 方法准确评估系统弹性,改善安全管理.
科学领域:
- 运输工程 运输工程
- 网络科学 网络科学
- 弹性分析 弹性分析
背景情况:
- 评估紧急情况对公路运输弹性的影响至关重要.
- 现有的方法可能无法完全捕捉到系统在压力下的弹性复杂的动态.
- 了解高速公路系统的安全弹性形成对于有效管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为公路运输系统构建一个弹性网络层次模型.
- 开发一个弹性评估指数系统和评估方法.
- 在公共卫生紧急情况下评估公路运输系统的安全弹性.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个四层网络层次模型 (高速公路,运输,交通,应急网络).
- 设计了一个弹性评估指数系统.
- 应用模糊分析层次过程 (FAHP) 进行评估,通过案例研究进行验证.
主要成果:
- 提出的基于FAHP的方法准确地反映了公共卫生紧急情况期间公路运输的整体弹性.
- 结果与来自系统弹性曲线的定量分析一致.
- 该方法在非结构化决策问题上表现出灵活性和简单性.
结论:
- 开发的方法有效地评估了高速公路运输安全在紧急情况下的弹性.
- 这种方法增强了安全生产管理,并提高了整体系统的弹性.
- 未来的研究应该扩展场景,地区,并分析性在干扰下的演变.
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