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Updated: Jun 20, 2025

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Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
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一个综合性分析模型的水 - 能源 - 食品纽带:南非的案例研究研究
Luxon Nhamo1,2, Tafadzwanashe Mabhaudhi2, Sylvester Mpandeli1,3
1Water Research Commission, Lynnwood Manor, Pretoria 0081, South Africa.
概括
这项研究开发了一种综合水-能源-食品 (WEF) 资源管理的分析模型,解决了缺乏决策支持工具的问题. 该模型发现南非的资源管理是边际可持续的,突出了政策干预的领域.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 资源管理 资源管理
- 可持续性科学 可持续性科学
背景情况:
- 有效的跨部门资源管理受到水 - 能源 - 食品 (WEF) 联系的分析工具缺乏的阻碍.
- 采用WEF综合联系需要基于证据的政策和决策支持.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个综合WEF资源管理的分析模型.
- 定义世界经济论坛的关联可持续性指标,并建立各部门之间的定量关系.
- 通过使用开发的模型,评估实现可持续发展目标的进展.
主要方法:
- 定义了世界环境论坛 (WEF) 关联的可持续发展指标.
- 使用分析层次过程 (AHP) 开发了一个分析模型.
- 将模型应用于南非作为一个案例研究,使用蜘蛛图进行可视化.
主要成果:
- 建立了定量关系,简化了世界环境论坛资源之间的相互联系.
- 使用蜘蛛图表来说明行业业绩和可持续性.
- 估计南非资源管理的综合指数为0.155 (2015) 和0.203 (2018).
结论:
- 南非的资源管理被归类为边际可持续.
- 开发的模型作为决策支持工具,用于确定干预优先级.
- 该研究为评估世界经济论坛联系的可持续性和实现可持续发展目标的进展提供了一个框架.
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