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与中国各种支持三个孩子的政策相关的在线公众意见的变化:使用随时间推移的社交媒体数据进行的观察性研究
Lijuan Peng1, Tinggui Chen2, Jianjun Yang3
1School of Business Administration, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou, China.
PloS one
|July 24, 2024
概括
中国中国中国中国.
科学领域:
- 人口统计研究 人口统计研究
- 社会政策分析 社会政策分析
- 公众论研究研究
背景情况:
- 根据第七次全国人口普查,中国面临着极低的出生率 (低于1.5的生育率).
- 政府的举措包括放宽计划生育政策和支持措施,以提高出生率.
研究的目的:
- 用微博数据分析公众对中国三子制政策的反应.
- 为更好的政策制定提供公众观点的平衡评估.
主要方法:
- 从新浪微博通过网络爬虫收集数据.
- 对微博帖子进行论挖掘,以分析用户的注意力和情绪.
- 间断时间序列分析以跟踪与政策文件相关的在线观点变化.
主要成果:
- 关于产妇保险,出生奖励和住房补贴的积极短期反.
- 对延长产假的负面情绪,引发了对妇女就业和权利的担忧.
- 公众关注的是妇女权利,健康,育儿支持和经济压力.
- 由于保险限制,在不孕不育/单身妇女中发现了对孩子的未满足愿望.
结论:
- 社交媒体提供了一种快速的方法来评估公众对生育政策的反应.
- 调查结果可以帮助决策者预测对未来政策的反应,并有效地分配资源.
- 解决了管理公众对有争议但有科学依据的政策的情绪的需要.
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