用牙科手段估计身高的可靠性有多大? 系统审查和元分析
Carolina Malschitzky1, Maria Tereza Campos Vidigal2, Debora Duarte Moreira3
1Division of Forensic Dentistry, Faculdade São Leopoldo Mandic, Campinas, Brazil.
Forensic science international
|July 24, 2024
概括
在法医科学中,牙科测量对于估计身高是不可靠的. 一项系统性审查发现,整体准确率仅为64%,表明这种方法在法医识别中不可靠.
科学领域:
- 法医人类学 法医人类学
- 牙科 牙科 牙科 牙科
- 生物识别信息 生物识别信息
背景情况:
- 85多年来,牙科测量一直被用于估计身高.
- 现有的科学文献提出了有关该方法有效性的有争议的发现.
- 法医实践需要可靠的方法来估计身高.
研究的目的:
- 系统地审查和汇编关于牙科测量对身高估计的表现的证据.
- 告知法医从业人员在识别案件中使用牙科指标的可靠性.
- 为了评估牙测量在分类身高的准确性.
主要方法:
- 对观察性横截面研究的系统文献综述.
- 搜索了多个数据库,包括Embase,PubMed,Scopus和科学网.
- 使用随机拦截逻辑回归模型和逻辑转换的元分析.
主要成果:
- 包括1990-2020年间发表的15项研究 (n=1486).
- 整体正确身高分类率为68%,在排除异常值后降至64%.
- 发现了显著的异质性 (I2 = 72.4%),但没有发现出版偏差.
结论:
- 牙科测量在法医背景下显示身高估计的可靠性较低.
- 该方法的准确性不足以在法医识别中可靠使用.
- 可能需要进一步的研究来探索用于身高估计的替代或补充方法.
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