信任预测遵守COVID-19制政策:使用大数据的十个国家的证据
Francesco Sarracino1, Talita Greyling2, Kelsey J O'Connor3
1STATEC Research a.s.b.l., 13, rue Erasme, L-2013, Luxembourg.
Economics and human biology
|July 24, 2024
概括
对他人的信任显著影响了公众对COVID-19政策的坚持. 这项研究表明,随着时间的推移,合规性会发生变化,这凸显了促进公众信任对于有效实施政策的重要性.
科学领域:
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 计算社会科学 计算社会科学
背景情况:
- 众所周知,公众信任与遵守COVID-19制政策的相关.
- 之前的研究经常假定合规是静态的,仅依靠自我报告或移动数据.
研究的目的:
- 调查信任与遵守COVID-19政策之间的动态关系.
- 为了放松时间不变合规性和有限的测量方法的假设.
主要方法:
- 在十个欧洲国家利用了推特,谷歌移动和牛津政策数据 (2020年3月至2021年1月).
- 开发了一种新的时间变化的合规措施,将政策数据与移动行为联系起来.
- 将情绪分析应用于Twitter数据,以量化对他人和国家机构的信任.
主要成果:
- 证明公众对COVID-19政策的遵守随着时间的推移而波动.
- 发现了显著的相关性:对他人的信任增加预测了更高的遵守.
- 相反,信任度下降预测合规性降低.
结论:
- 公众对卫生政策的遵守是动态的,并受到不断变化的信任水平的影响.
- 培养对他人的信任对于加强遵守公共卫生措施至关重要.
- 这些发现强调了需要动态,基于信任的公共卫生战略.
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