负面影响在塑造民粹主义支持中的作用:来自全球各地的现场证据的融合
George Ward1, H Andrew Schwartz2, Salvatore Giorgi3
1Department of Economics, University of Oxford.
The American psychologist
|July 25, 2024
概括
在全球范围内,负面影响的增加与对民粹主义的支持增加有关. 研究表明,愤怒,恐惧,抑郁和悲伤等情绪可以预测各种背景下的民粹主义态度和投票行为.
科学领域:
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 社会心理学 社会心理学
- 计算社会科学 计算社会科学
背景情况:
- 在过去的二十年中,民粹主义在全球范围内出现了显著的增长.
- 这一趋势与全球范围内负面情绪体验的明显增加相吻合.
研究的目的:
- 调查负面影响在多大程度上解释了对民粹主义的日益增长的选举需求.
- 检查消极情绪与民粹主义态度和投票行为之间的关系.
主要方法:
- 采用了多模式,多方法的实证方法.
- 数据包括全球调查测量自我报告的情绪和自动化推特数据分析.
- 分析了来自欧洲和美国总统选举结果的纵向选举数据.
主要成果:
- 通过调查和社交媒体测量的负面影响,显著预测了个人层面的民粹主义态度.
- 包括愤怒,恐惧,抑郁和悲伤在内的负面情绪与欧洲和美国选举中的民粹主义投票模式有关.
- 分析涵盖了欧洲大选,英国脱欧公投和美国总统大选 (2016年,2020年).
结论:
- 负面情绪是民粹主义信念和选举结果的关键预测因素.
- 该研究提供了强有力的,大规模的证据,将广泛的负面影响与民粹主义的兴起联系起来.
- 研究结果强调了当代民粹主义运动的心理基础.
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