与COVID-19疾病死亡相关的最重要的变量,基于三个数据挖掘模型:决策树,AdaBoost和支持矢量机:一个横截面研究
Bita Shokri Gharehhasani1, Mansour Rezaei2, Armin Naghipour3
1Taleghani Hospital Kermanshah University of Medical Sciences Kermanshah Iran.
Health science reports
|July 26, 2024
概括
与支持矢量机 (SVM) 和AdaBoost模型相比,决策树 (DT) 模型对COVID-19死亡率的预测能力更强. 这一发现表明DT是预测COVID-19结果的宝贵工具.
科学领域:
- 医疗信息学 医疗信息学
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- COVID-19 构成了重大的全球健康挑战,需要准确的死亡率预测模型.
- 为了预测COVID-19的结果,存在各种机器学习模型,但它们的比较性能需要进一步调查.
研究的目的:
- 评估和比较决策树 (DT),支持矢量机 (SVM) 和AdaBoost模型在预测COVID-19相关死亡方面的表现.
- 确定最有效的数据挖掘模型来预测COVID-19死亡率.
主要方法:
- 分析了23054名COVID-19患者的数据集.
- 奇平方测试用于确定死亡率的显著预测因素 (p < 0.05).
- 实现了DT,SVM和AdaBoost模型,并使用R软件中的灵敏度,特异性,精度和接收器操作特征曲线 (AUC) 下的面积进行了比较.
主要成果:
- 在几个人口和临床因素 (例如性别,发烧,糖尿病,癌症) 与COVID-19死亡率之间发现了显著的关联.
- 决策树 (DT) 模型以0.71的精度和0.75.75的AUC实现了最高的性能.
- 支持矢量机 (SVM) 和AdaBoost模型的预测性能较低,AUC分别为0.71和0.74.
结论:
- 决策树 (DT) 模型对COVID-19死亡率表现出强大的预测能力.
- 对于研究COVID-19结果的研究人员来说,推使用DT.
- 未来的研究可以探索先进的模型,如随机森林或XGBoost,以潜在地提高预测准确性.
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