武装冲突的长期影响 生命中的死亡:量化家庭丧亲的数量
Diego Alburez-Gutierrez1, Enrique Acosta2,3, Emilio Zagheni4
1Kinship Inequalities Research Group, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research (MPIDR), Rostock, Germany.
Science advances
|July 26, 2024
概括
武装冲突导致广泛的家庭丧亲,对心理健康和社会经济地位产生深远影响. 这项研究量化了冲突地区的父母和后代的损失,揭示了丧生率超过死亡率.
科学领域:
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 冲突研究 冲突研究
背景情况:
- 武装冲突导致大量战斗人员和平民死亡,导致广泛的家庭丧亲.
- 在受冲突影响的人群中,丧亲的流行率和长期影响仍未得到充分研究.
- 亲属的暴力丧失会影响心理健康,社会经济地位和护理动态,尤其对儿童和老年人来说.
研究的目的:
- 提出和验证一种方法来量化受冲突影响的环境中父母和后代的人口水平损失.
- 评估16个不同受冲突影响的人口中的丧亲病发病率.
- 在这些人群中预测未来的丧亲趋势.
主要方法:
- 开发一种新的方法来量化父母和子女的丧生.
- 分析来自16个受冲突影响的地区的人口数据.
- 应用人口预测模型来估计未来的丧亲水平.
主要成果:
- 在所有16个分析的冲突环境中,悲伤水平始终超过了整体死亡率.
- 人口统计预测表明,这些人口在未来几十年内会有大量和持续的丧亲.
- 悲伤的影响不论未来冲突发展如何,都会持续下去.
结论:
- 丧亲是武装冲突的一个显著而普遍的后果,远远超出了直接的死亡率.
- 量化丧亲是了解冲突对个人和社会的长期,多方面的影响至关重要的.
- 需要进一步的研究和干预措施来解决与冲突有关的丧失的深刻和持久影响.
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