关于REDD+碳核算的不确定性:对参与REDD+报告工作的专家进行调查
Brett J Butler1, Emma M Sass2, Javier G P Gamarra3
1Northern Research Station, USDA Forest Service, Amherst, MA, USA.
Carbon balance and management
|July 27, 2024
概括
改善森林碳核算对于减少森林砍伐和森林退化的排放 (REDD+) 是至关重要的. 各国需要更好的资源和培训,以准确报告排放减少的不确定性,尽管目前的限制.
科学领域:
- 气候变化缓解缓解 气候变化缓解
- 森林碳核算 森林碳核算
- 环境政策 环境政策
背景情况:
- 减少森林砍伐和森林退化排放 (REDD+) 是联合国的一个计划,鼓励发展中国家减少森林碳损失.
- 在REDD+报告中准确的不确定性估计越来越需要,但由于资源和能力缺口,这是一项挑战.
- 针对不确定性的当前支付调整可能会产生不正当的激励,因为报告的不确定性更高可能会导致支付更大.
研究的目的:
- 评估各国在改善REDD+报告不确定性估计方面面临的现有能力和障碍.
- 了解参与REDD+报告的利益相关者关于不确定性量化的观点.
主要方法:
- 在各个国家参与REDD+报告的个人中进行了一项调查.
- 该调查重点评估了当前的做法,不确定性的感知重要性,并确定了估计不确定性的挑战.
主要成果:
- 来自27个国家的代表强调了不确定性报告的重要性,但大多数人认为他们的国家报告不足.
- 虽然大多数国家报告活动数据的不确定性,但很少有人报告排放因素或使用先进的估计技术.
- 缺乏专业知识,技术援助,财政资源和适当的数据被确定为重大障碍.
结论:
- 在REDD+报告的利益相关者之间存在强烈的共识,他们认为必须加强森林碳核算中的不确定性估计.
- 对培训和资源进行有针对性的投资对于克服发现的障碍和提高REDD+报告的准确性至关重要.
- 监测实施方案的有效性对于改进改善不确定性量化策略至关重要.
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