多利益相关者Delphi调查中的样本大小:在哪个最小样本大小下,结果的可复制性会稳定?
Anthony Muchai Manyara1, Anthony Purvis2, Oriana Ciani3
1School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK; Global Health and Ageing Research Unit, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Journal of clinical epidemiology
|July 28, 2024
概括
最少60-80名参与者的样本大小确保了多利益相关者Delphi调查的高可重复性. 对于单个利益相关者Delphi研究,20-30个小组可能足够.
科学领域:
- 卫生研究方法论 卫生研究方法论
- 调查科学 调查科学
- 临床试验 临床试验
背景情况:
- 多利益相关者Delphi调查的最佳样本大小尚未确立.
- 德尔菲调查在健康研究中越来越多地用于建立共识.
研究的目的:
- 确定在多利益相关者Delphi调查中获得可靠结果的最低样本大小.
- 评估样本大小和参与者特征对结果可复制性的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自三个大型国际Delphi调查 (SPIRIT,CONSORT-SPI,烧伤护理核心结果集) 的数据.
- 员工重新采样与替换以生成子样本并比较中位数值.
- 基于与完整数据集的中位数一致的计算百分比可复制性和可变性.
主要成果:
- 在60名参与者的样本大小中,平均可复制率为81% (10%的可变性).
- 80名参与者的样本大小在一个数据集中达到≥80%的可复制性.
- 20-30名参与者的样本大小在子组分析中产生了适度的可复制性 (64-77%).
结论:
- 在多利益相关者Delphi调查中,建议采用60-80名参与者的最低样本大小,以实现高可重复性 (≥80%).
- 对于专注于个别利益相关者群体的Delphi研究,每个群体的20-30名参与者可能是充足的.
相关概念视频
Sample Size Calculation
3.3K
Knowledge of the sample size is the first requirement to conduct random sampling or an experiment. The sample size is the total number of units, observations, or groups (in some cases) used to get the data to estimate a population parameter. As the name suggests, the sample size is that of the sample drawn from the population and differs from the population size.
The sample size for the given experiment or sampling effort is fundamental to any study design. Sample size decides the number of...
The sample size for the given experiment or sampling effort is fundamental to any study design. Sample size decides the number of...
3.3K
Sample Proportion and Population Proportion
5.2K
Collecting samples or responses from an entire population takes significant time and effort, so a researcher collects responses from only a sample of that population. Suppose a study needs to collect information about a specific mobile application. After sample collection, the researcher analyzes the data and discovers that most individuals in the sample use that specific mobile application. The sample proportion measures the number of individuals in a sample who either use or don't use the...
5.2K
Margin of Error
4.0K
The margin of error is also called the maximum error of an estimate. The margin of error is the maximum possible or expected difference between the observed sample parameter value and the actual population parameter value. For proportion, it is the maximum difference between the value of sample proportion obtained from the data and the true value of population proportion. As the true value of the population parameter is not known, the margin of error is calculated using the sample statistic.
4.0K
Sampling Plans
173
Sampling is a crucial step in analytical chemistry, allowing researchers to collect representative data from a large population. Common sampling methods include random, judgmental, systematic, stratified, and cluster sampling.
Random sampling is a method where each member of the population has an equal chance of being selected for the sample. It involves selecting individuals randomly, often using random number generators or lottery-type methods. For example, when analyzing the properties of a...
Random sampling is a method where each member of the population has an equal chance of being selected for the sample. It involves selecting individuals randomly, often using random number generators or lottery-type methods. For example, when analyzing the properties of a...
173
Contaminants and Errors
86
Effective sample preparation is crucial for accurate and reliable laboratory analysis. During this process, two significant sources of error can arise: concentration bias from improper sample splitting and contamination caused by methods used to reduce particle size, such as grinding or homogenization. Identifying and minimizing these potential errors is crucial to ensuring the validity of the analysis.
Another key consideration is determining the appropriate number of samples required to...
Another key consideration is determining the appropriate number of samples required to...
86
Estimating Population Mean with Known Standard Deviation
8.3K
To construct a confidence interval for a single unknown population mean μ, where the population standard deviation is known, we need sample mean as an estimate for μ and we need the margin of error. Here, the margin of error (EBM) is called the error bound for a population mean (abbreviated EBM). The sample mean is the point estimate of the unknown population mean μ.
The confidence interval estimate will have the form as follows:
(point estimate - error bound, point estimate +...
The confidence interval estimate will have the form as follows:
(point estimate - error bound, point estimate +...
8.3K


