根据AHA的PREVENT心血管风险方程,预计静脉类药物和抗高血压疗法的适用性变化
James A Diao1,2, Ivy Shi1,3, Venkatesh L Murthy4
1Department of Biomedical Informatics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
JAMA
|July 29, 2024
概括
新的PREVENT方程可能会降低数百万人的动脉样性心血管疾病 (ASCVD) 风险得分,从而可能降低他类药物和抗高血压治疗的适用性. 这种变化可能会导致10年内增加107,000例心脏病发作或中风.
科学领域:
- 心血管医学
- 公共卫生
- 流行病学
背景情况:
- 目前美国心脏病学会 (ACC) 和美国心脏协会 (AHA) 的指导方针使用聚合队列方程 (PCE) 来估计动脉样硬化心血管疾病 (ASCVD) 的风险.
- 新的预测心血管疾病风险 (PREVENT) 方程提供了改进的校准,并纳入脏测量,消除了种族作为一个因素.
- PREVENT 方程的预测 ASCVD 风险低于 PCE,因此需要对其临床影响进行评估.
研究的目的:
- 根据目前的ACC/AHA指南,量化应用PREVENT方程对美国成年人的风险分类和治疗资格的影响.
- 估计他类药物和抗高血压药物的适用性变化.
- 预测临床结果的潜在变化,如心肌梗塞和中风.
主要方法:
- 来自国家健康和营养检查调查 (2011-2020年) 的7765名美国成年人的全国代表样本的分析.
- 使用PREVENT和PCE方程进行ASCVD风险预测,风险类别和治疗资格的比较.
- 基于治疗资格变化的预计心肌梗塞和中风发生率的估计.
主要成果:
- 在PREVENT方程中,53.0%的成年人被重新分类到较低的ASCVD风险类别,只有0.41%被转移到更高的类别.
- 估计有1430万的成年人将有资格接受他类药物治疗,还有262万的成年人将有资格接受抗高血压治疗.
- 这些治疗资格的减少可能会导致10年内约107,000例心肌梗塞或中风,不成比例地影响男性和黑人成年人.
结论:
- 应用PREVENT方程式与现有的ACC/ AHA治疗值可能会降低美国1580万成年人接受他类药物和抗高血压治疗的资格.
- 这些发现突出了采用PREVENT方程的潜在显著临床影响,包括增加主要心血管不良事件的风险.
- 根据不断发展的ASCVD风险评估工具,需要进一步研究以完善风险预测模型并确保最佳的患者护理.
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