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枪支所有者的乐观偏见:与枪支伤害预防实践和政策支持的关联
Amanda J Aubel1, Garen J Wintemute1, Aaron B Shev1
1Violence Prevention Research Program, Department of Emergency Medicine, School of Medicine, University of California, Davis, Sacramento, CA, USA.
有乐观偏见的枪支所有者,他们认为枪支的个人风险较小,更愿意接受预防政策. 调整公共卫生信息以关注集体责任可能会提高效率.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 社会心理学 社会心理学
- 枪支伤害预防 预防枪支伤害
背景情况:
- 乐观偏见,低估个人风险的倾向,在健康评估中普遍存在,包括枪支伤害风险.
- 这种偏见可以影响人们对安全实践和政策支持的行为和态度.
研究的目的:
- 调查乐观偏见如何影响枪支伤害预防实践和枪支所有者之间的政策支持.
- 为了比较持枪者表现出乐观偏见的特征和行为,与那些认为枪支总是增加安全或对风险不确定的人进行比较.
主要方法:
- 利用了2018年加州安全与福利调查的数据.
- 采用加权的多项物流回归来分析枪支所有者群体之间的差异,基于他们对风险的看法 (乐观偏见,总是更安全,不确定).
主要成果:
- 乐观偏见群体中的枪支所有者更有可能是女性,来自少数种族/族群,以及新枪支所有者.
- 与"总是更安全"群体相比,这个群体对枪支伤害预防政策的支持更大,并且较少携带装载的枪支或不安全地存储枪支.
结论:
- 有乐观偏见的枪支所有者可能代表一个"可移动的中间体",容易接受枪支伤害预防工作.
- 专注于以他人为导向的风险和集体责任的公共卫生信息可能更有效,因为它对与枪支所有权相关的个人身份的威胁较小.
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