印度针对妇女的犯罪:使用小面积估计方法进行区级风险估计
B S Pooja1, Vasudeva Guddattu1, K Aruna Rao2
1Department of Data Science, Prasanna School of Public Health, Manipal Academy of Higher Education, Manipal, India.
Frontiers in public health
|July 31, 2024
概括
印度针对妇女的犯罪从2020年到2022年增加,空间差异很大. 性别比率和人口密度是关键的相关因素,突出了对高风险地区有针对性的干预措施的需要.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 针对妇女的犯罪构成了持续的全球公共卫生挑战.
- 解决这些罪行对于实现2030年可持续发展目标至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 从2020年到2022年全面检查印度针对妇女的犯罪的普遍性.
- 在地区层面确定这些犯罪的空间模式和相关因素.
主要方法:
- 使用国家犯罪记录局 (NCRB) 2020年和2022年的数据进行生态分析.
- 地区级相对风险和热点分析的小面积估计.
- 空间回归用于确定2022年与犯罪相关的因素.
主要成果:
- 报告的针对妇女的犯罪在全国范围内从57 (2020) 增加到67 (2022).
- 在2022年,德里报告了最高的犯罪率 (145),纳加兰德报告了最低的犯罪率 (5).
- 在拉贾斯坦邦,Madhya Pradesh,Haryana,Telangana和Odisha确定了重要的热点;性别比例和人口密度是重要的因素.
结论:
- 越来越多的针对妇女的犯罪发生率和空间不平等需要有针对性的干预.
- 了解各地区风险差异是制定有效预防策略的关键.
- 在高风险地区进行进一步的研究可以确定实施暴力预防措施的障碍.
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