复合干旱和热带事件对植被的压力增加
Shuang Zhou1, Shaohong Wu1, Jiangbo Gao2
1Institute of Geographical Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China; University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China.
The Science of the total environment
|July 31, 2024
概括
复合干旱和热情事件 (CDHEs) 的频率和持续时间正在增加. 这些事件对植被产生重大影响,较长时间的事件造成了最大的破坏,并扩大了它们的地理范围.
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 环境科学 环境科学
背景情况:
- 复合干旱和热情事件 (CDHEs) 是常见的极端气候事件,具有重大生态影响.
- 了解时空动态和植被对不同持续时间的CDHE的反应至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 从1993年到2020年调查CDHE的空间和时间特征.
- 评估CDHE对不同气候区域和生态系统的植被的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用了从1993年到2020年的气象观测数据.
- 应用Theil-Sen趋势测试和Mann-Kendall非参数测试进行趋势分析.
- 使用滑动相关性分析来评估植被对CDHE的反应.
主要成果:
- 观察到CDHE频率和持久性的显著增加趋势 (13.80%/十年).
- 超过3天的CDHEs的分数贡献显著增加 (2.00%/十年).
- 植被最受5-9天CDHEs影响;受影响面积扩大 (0.89%),相关性强度增加 (0.02),滞后时间减少 (0.25个月).
结论:
- CDHEs的频率和持续时间正在增加,对生态系统构成越来越大的威胁.
- 植被对这些复合事件的脆弱性越来越大,特定的持续时间具有最明显的影响.
- 这些发现增强了对植被对全球变化下的复合极端气候事件的反应的理解.
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