基本负载和灵活增强的地热系统的电源特性
Mohammad J Aljubran1, Roland N Horne2
1Energy Science and Engineering, Stanford University, Building 367, Stanford, California, 94305, USA. aljubrmj@stanford.edu.
Scientific reports
|July 31, 2024
概括
改进的地热系统 (EGS) 在美国各地提供了重要的电力供应潜力. 灵活运营可以使EGS作为可调度可再生能源更具竞争力和可扩展性.
科学领域:
- 地质物理学 地质物理学
- 能源系统分析 能源系统分析
- 可再生能源技术可再生能源技术
背景情况:
- 增强地热系统 (EGS) 是一个有前途的可再生能源,具有巨大的未开发潜力.
- 了解EGS的技术经济可行性和电力供应能力对于其广泛采用至关重要.
- 以前的评估可能没有完全捕捉到EGS在各种操作场景和先进钻探技术下的潜力.
研究的目的:
- 调查EGS在连续的美国的技术经济可行性和电力供应潜力.
- 评估灵活地热调度和先进钻探对EGS经济性和可扩展性的影响.
- 确定具有最高EGS容量潜力的地区.
主要方法:
- 使用了一种新的地下温度模型和EGS项目生命周期的详细模拟.
- 分析了 EGS 在常规情况下的业务表现和灵活的调度 (井头压缩,发电厂绕道).
- 基于EGS近期项目实施的综合先进钻井速度.
主要成果:
- 估计EGS供应能力为82,945GW,在业务正常的情况下,电力成本 (LCOE) 比传统来源低.
- 灵活的地热调度将EGS供应能力估计增加到184,112GW.
- 在美国西部和西南部地区,特别是加利福尼亚州,俄勒冈州,内华达州,蒙大拿州和德克萨斯州发现了重要的EGS潜力.
- 预计先进的钻探速度将平均提高25.1%的LCOE.
结论:
- 伊格斯在整个美国拥有相当大的电力供应潜力.
- 灵活的操作是提高EGS竞争力和可扩展性的关键.
- 通过技术进步,EGS可以成为具有竞争力和可扩展性的可调度可再生能源.
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