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2001年至2022年珍珠河三角洲城市聚集区的空间和时间演变特征和热脆弱性因素
Jiangbo Wang1, Yishu Li1, Wei Liu2
1College of Architecture, Nanjing Tech University, Nanjing, 211816, China.
Heliyon
|August 2, 2024
概括
珍珠河三角洲城市聚集区的热量脆弱性在2001-2022年间呈现下降趋势,受热浪和人口敏感性的影响. 脆弱性差异扩大,突出地区发展不均.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 城市规划 城市规划
- 适应气候变化 适应气候变化
背景情况:
- 城市热的脆弱性是一个越来越大的问题,特别是在快速发展的地区,如珍珠河三角洲.
- 了解热脆弱性的时空动态对于有效的灾害管理和城市规划至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析2001年至2022年珍珠河三角洲城市聚集区热脆弱性的时空空间演变.
- 确定影响热脆弱性的关键因素及其不断变化的趋势.
- 评估热感脆弱性的区域差异.
主要方法:
- 用于脆弱性评估的度权重方法 (EWM).
- 核密度估计和莫兰的I用于空间模式分析.
- 地理和时间加权回归 (GTWR) 模型分析影响因素.
主要成果:
- 整体热脆弱性指数在2001年至2022年期间表现出波动性的下降趋势.
- 高频,长时间的热浪,人口的敏感性和不断变化的消费水平被确定为关键因素.
- 观察到城市之间的热脆弱性差异显著扩大,这表明区域发展不均.
结论:
- 珍珠河三角洲的热脆弱性是动态的,具有显著的空间不平等.
- 针对性热适应策略对于高度脆弱的地区至关重要,以改善区域可持续性.
- 为了应对不断变化的热风险,需要持续监测和适应性规划.
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