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Updated: Jun 18, 2025

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework

Published on: July 24, 2016

一个参与式的多标准决策分析框架揭示了向非电网废水管理的转变潜力

Philipp Beutler¹, Tove A Larsen², Max Maurer³

¹Hunziker Betatech AG, Pflanzschulstrasse 17, CH-8400, Winterthur, Switzerland.

Journal of environmental management

|August 2, 2024

概括

使用多标准决策分析 (MCDA) 的新参与性框架通过包括利益相关者和不确定性,有效地解决复杂的环境问题. 这种方法有助于过渡到分散的废水系统,找到强大的共识选项.

科学领域:

环境决策的制定方法
公共政策分析公共政策分析
系统工程是系统工程.

背景情况:

恶劣的环境问题呈现出高度的复杂性和不确定性,阻碍了有效的公共决策.
现有的多标准决策分析 (MCDA) 应用程序往往缺乏利益相关者纳入和强大的不确定性处理.
过渡到分散的非电网废水系统面临实施障碍,原因是不清楚的建议和利益相关者的接受.

研究的目的:

测试一个基于价值的参与性框架,使用MCDA来解决邪恶的环境问题.
解决MCDA环境决策中利益相关者纳入和不确定性处理方面的差距.
评估向分散的非电网废水系统过渡的可行性和利益相关者的接受度.

主要方法:

应用基于价值的参与性框架,整合多标准决策分析 (MCDA).
在整个决策过程中,包括各种利益相关者的偏好.
使用蒙特卡洛模拟和灵敏度分析进行不确定性分析.

主要成果:

利益相关者参与MCDA至关重要,因为不同的偏好会影响结果评估.
与传统的综合评估相比,MCDA,包括不确定性,提供了更清晰的结果,并确定了强大的共识选项.
利益关方认为,向分散的非电网废水系统过渡,特别是尿源分离,是可行的和可取的.

结论:

拟议的基于价值的参与性框架是严格的,实用的和可转移的,用于解决邪恶的决策问题.
整合利益相关者的价值观和不确定性分析可以提高环境政策决策的可靠性和接受性.
分散的非电网废水系统是一个可行的解决方案,特别是当与利益相关者对环境保护的优先事项保持一致时.

关键词:

分散的废水基础设施分散的废水基础设施.在MCDA中,MCDA是MCDA.参与式决策分析利益相关者的偏好利益相关者的偏好不确定性不确定性邪恶的问题问题.

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