揭示了热带气旋对接近沿海地区的极端波浪的全球影响
Swen Jullien1, Jérôme Aucan2, Elodie Kestenare3
1Univ Brest, Ifremer, CNRS, IRD, LOPS, F-29280, Plouzané, France. swen.jullien@ifremer.fr.
Nature communications
|August 3, 2024
概括
热带气旋 (TCs) 在全球极端海洋浪潮中起着重要作用,在热带地区造成35%至50%的浪潮危险,并影响偏远的海岸线. 这项研究量化了它们在沿海风险评估中的作用.
科学领域:
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 沿海工程 沿海工程
背景情况:
- 暴风雨带来的极端波浪给沿海带来了重大风险.
- 热带气旋 (TC) 对全球波浪诱导的沿海危害的具体贡献尚不清楚.
研究的目的:
- 量化评估TCs在极端浪潮产生中的作用及其对全球海岸线的影响.
- 了解TC如何影响TC倾向于TC和TC无区域的波浪高度和沿海风险.
主要方法:
- 利用双重海洋波模拟,比较具有和没有现实的TC风力强迫的场景.
- 分析了TCs对全球不同沿海地区极端破浪高度的贡献.
主要成果:
- 热带地区的海浪高度极端,TC的贡献很大 (平均为35-50%),在高密度的TC地区达到100%.
- 此外,TC还影响着偏远的无TC地区,平均占太平洋赤道地区极端浪潮事件的30%.
- 年间气候变化,如厄尔尼诺和拉尼诺,在特定地区放大TC诱导的波浪危险.
结论:
- 在全球范围内,TC是极端波浪事件的主要驱动因素,显著增加了沿海风险.
- 了解TC驱动的波浪影响对于有效的全球风险管理和沿海准备战略至关重要.
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