经验测试合作与质数之间的关系
1Atkinson School of Management, Willamette University, Salem, OR, 97301, USA.
Royal Society open science
|August 5, 2024
概括
游戏中的合作可能与质数一致,但人类公共物品游戏数据显示证据很弱. 素数循环不一致地增加了合作,这使得这一理论联系受到怀疑.
科学领域:
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
- 游戏理论 游戏理论
- 数学理论 数学理论
背景情况:
- 理论模型将合作与进化游戏理论中的质数联系起来.
- 在掠食者-猎物人口动态中观察到类似的模式,其生命周期以质数计数.
研究的目的:
- 实证地测试人类公共物品游戏中的合作是否在质数时间间隔中表现出周期性.
- 评估关于素数周期和合作的理论预测的有效性.
主要方法:
- 从人类公共物品游戏中分析之前发布的数据,这些游戏跨越多个时间点进行.
- 统计检查周期性模式在质数间隔和安慰剂试验.
主要成果:
- 发现了素数间隔周期性的适度证据,与理论预测大致一致.
- 个别决策显示在以质数计数的时间点贡献增加,虚假估计的可能性很低.
- 排除低值的素数时间点减少了效应大小,防止拒绝零假设.
结论:
- 对人类公共物品游戏来说,在以素数计数的时间点增加合作的假设受到质疑.
- 观察到的效应似乎是由低值的素数时间点驱动的,这与理论预期相反.
- 经验发现并没有强烈支持将素数周期与加强合作联系起来的理论模型.
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