通货膨胀的隐性成本:对工业发展和环境影响的批判性分析
Dan Zheng1, Abdullah Addas2,3, Liaqat Ali Waseem4
1School of Law, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu, China.
PloS one
|August 5, 2024
概括
中国的经济增长,工业化和通货膨胀显著影响二氧化碳排放. 了解这些联系对于制定有针对性的环境政策以减轻污染至关重要.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 计量经济学 计量经济学
- 可持续发展 可持续发展
背景情况:
- 经济活动对环境质量,特别是二氧化碳排放有深远的影响.
- 中国快速的工业化为环境可持续性带来了独特的挑战.
- 了解经济因素和排放之间的相互作用对于政策制定至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 研究二氧化碳排放,工业增长,国民总支出 (GNE) 和中国的通货膨胀之间的动态关系.
- 分析经济变量对二氧化碳排放的短期和长期影响.
- 为制定有效的环境缓解战略提供见解.
主要方法:
- 利用了从1960年到2022年的时间序列数据.
- 采用非线性自回归分布式滞后 (NARDL) 计量经济学模型.
- 检查了关键变量之间的非线性相关性和长期/短期影响.
主要成果:
- 国内生产总值 (GDP),通货膨胀和经济发展是长期二氧化碳排放的重要驱动因素.
- 增加的国民总支出 (GNE) 和经济活动与更高的二氧化碳排放有很强的相关性.
- 通货膨胀对二氧化碳排放产生了显著的短期积极影响,尽管这种影响随着时间的推移而减弱.
- 工业活动,特别是能源密集型工艺和化石燃料的使用,对二氧化碳排放作出了重大贡献.
结论:
- 中国的经济增长和工业化明显增加了二氧化碳排放.
- 需要采取政策干预措施,将经济扩张与环境退化脱.
- 政策制定者和研究人员之间的合作对于制定有效的环境保护措施至关重要.
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