罕见且极具破坏性的野火促使美国的人类迁徙
Kathryn McConnell1,2, Elizabeth Fussell3,4, Jack DeWaard5,6
1Population Studies and Training Center, Brown University, Providence, RI, USA. kathryn.mcconnell@ubc.ca.
Nature communications
|August 5, 2024
概括
极端野火对人类迁徙有重大影响,但只有当超过258个结构被摧毁时. 大多数野火不会造成大量的人口迁移,这表明罕见的流动效应主要与严重的建筑环境破坏有关.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 地理 地理 地理 地理.
背景情况:
- 由于全球气温上升,野火对建筑环境的影响正在升级.
- 了解野火事件与人类流动性之间的关系对于灾难准备和城市规划至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为了确定森林火灾是否会影响人类迁徙模式,以及在哪个破坏值影响人类迁徙模式.
- 分析1999年至2020年连续美国最具破坏性的野火的迁移效应.
主要方法:
- 检查了与1999年至2020年间连续美国主要野火事件相关的移民数据.
- 专注于结构的破坏门作为评估野火对人口流动影响的关键变量.
主要成果:
- 只有极端的野火,定义为摧毁258个或更多建筑物的野火,可以明显影响人类迁徙模式.
- 大多数研究的野火,它们的破坏性较小,并没有导致外移或入移的显著变化.
- 过去二十年来,野火对人口流动的影响很少,主要是由于严重的建筑环境破坏造成的.
结论:
- 野火引发的人类流动性转变是罕见的,并且取决于建筑环境的极端破坏水平.
- 未来的研究应该在评估野火更广泛的社会影响时考虑破坏的具体门.
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