在2010-2022年世界杯足球比赛中传球网络的演变
Pengyu Pan1,2, Carlos Lago Peñas3, Qiyu Wang4
1College of Physical Education and Sport, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China.
Science & medicine in football
|August 6, 2024
概括
足球传球网络从占有发展到直接玩和回来,球队的实力影响了这些转变. 球员角色也发生了变化,在2010-2022年FIFA世界杯 (WC) 中,防守者比前占据了突出地位.
科学领域:
- 运动科学 运动科学 运动科学
- 网络分析 网络分析
- 足球分析 足球分析
背景情况:
- 在精英足球中,传球网络 (PN) 对于理解球队动态至关重要.
- 在多个FIFA世界杯 (WC) 上,球队和球员传球策略的进化趋势仍然未被充分探索.
- 网络分析提供了一个强大的框架来量化这些不断变化的相互作用.
研究的目的:
- 调查2010年至2022年的FIFA世界杯 (WC) 球队和球员层面的传球网络 (PN) 的演变.
- 分析团队组建和排名等上下文变量如何影响这些传递网络动态.
- 在不断发展的足球传球网络中识别位置中心性的变化.
主要方法:
- 来自四届FIFA世界杯 (2010,2014,2018,2022) 的256场比赛和7328名球员观察结果的分析.
- 利用多摄像头跟踪系统和17个网络指标来分析路过的网络.
- 采用线性混合效应模型来评估按年和团队力量的PN参数差异,考虑六个游戏位置.
主要成果:
- 在2010年和2018年世界杯之间,人们观察到从基于占有的游戏转向直接游戏的转变,在2022年恢复占有游戏.
- 高质量和低质量的团队在2018年显示网络密度,平均度 (AD),模块化和平均路径长度下降.
- 高质量的球队在2022年表现出增加的密度,AD和平均加权度,而中场和前显示出减少的中心性,后卫和门将显示出增加的中心性.
结论:
- 足球传球网络在12年的时间里显示出显著的进化趋势,反映出国际精英足球的战术转变.
- 团队实力是影响采用直接游戏与占有游戏策略的关键因素.
- 团队结构中的位置角色已经演变,与中场和前相比,防守者和门将在传球网络中变得更加重要.
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