定制采样方法用于预测水分网络中的管道故障
Milad Latifi1, Ramiz Beig Zali2, Akbar A Javadi2
1Centre for Water Systems, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK. m.latifi@exeter.ac.uk.
Scientific reports
|August 6, 2024
概括
这项研究通过使用数据平衡技术,提高了在供水网络 (WDNs) 中的管道故障预测. 通过将特定的过量采样和不足采样比率与不平衡数据集的类权重相结合,实现了最佳结果.
科学领域:
- 工程 工程师 工程师 工程师
- 计算机科学 计算机科学
- 数据科学数据科学数据科学
背景情况:
- 不平衡的数据集对机器学习 (ML) 模型在预测水分网 (WDN) 失败方面提出了挑战.
- 由于数据分布偏差,传统方法难以准确识别罕见的故障事件.
- 有效的故障预测对于保持WDN完整性和运营效率至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发和评估一种新的方法来解决WDN管道故障预测中的不平衡类数据.
- 调查各种数据平衡策略对ML模型性能的影响.
- 为了确定优化样本不足,样本过量和类权重的最佳配置,以提高预测准确度.
主要方法:
- 利用不足抽样,过量抽样和类权重技术来重新平衡不平衡的WDN数据集.
- 构建管道故障预测模型,使用这些调整的数据集在各种层面,包括非平衡点.
- 使用F1得分和接收器操作特征曲线 (AUC-ROC) 下的面积来评估模型性能.
主要成果:
- 在平衡点以上的样本不足导致最高的F1分数.
- 在平衡点以下的过量采样显示出最佳性能.
- 应用低于平衡点值的类权重被证明是有效的.
- 结合不同比例的过量采样和不足采样,然后进行类权重,产生了最有效的预测模型.
结论:
- 数据平衡技术对于改善不平衡的WDN数据集中的故障预测至关重要.
- 一种混合方法结合了有针对性的过量采样,不足采样和类权重,提供了卓越的预测性能.
- 这些发现为开发强大的WDN故障预测系统提供了宝贵的见解.
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