可再生能源补偿政策和传统能源投资:一个理论模型
1SnT, Interdisciplinary Centre for Security, Reliability and Trust, University of Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
Heliyon
|August 7, 2024
概括
可再生能源补偿政策 (RCP) 可能无意中促进传统能源投资. 我们的模型表明,在能源转型期间,输入关税可以增加传统产能,影响企业利和消费者余.
科学领域:
- 能源经济学 能源经济学
- 环境政策 环境政策
- 工业组织 工业组织 工业组织
背景情况:
- 司法管辖区正在扩大可再生和传统能源容量,通常受可再生能源补偿政策 (RCP) 的影响.
- 对企业关于传统能源容量的投资决策的RCP的影响仍然不充分理解.
- 不同能源的同时扩张需要对政策相互作用有明确的理解.
研究的目的:
- 分析可再生能源补偿政策 (RCP) 对企业对传统能源容量投资的激励措施的影响.
- 在理论框架内研究这种相互作用,考虑不完美的竞争和需求不确定性.
- 为理解能源转型背景下的政策设计提供基础.
主要方法:
- 公司投资和电力供应的两阶段理论模型的开发.
- 以市场价格的传统产量和可再生能源产量的建模,根据进料关税 (FiT) 和进料溢价 (FiP).
- 使用一个说明性的数值示例来量化不同FiT比例的影响.
主要成果:
- 将由FiT补偿的可再生产量的比例从20%提高到80%,导致市场级传统投资增加18%.
- 这种政策转变导致消费者余增加,但企业利下降.
- 调查结果表明,某些RCP可以无意中鼓励采用传统发电能力.
结论:
- 可再生能源补偿政策可能会产生意想不到的后果,可能刺激对传统能源容量的投资.
- 对于碳密集型国家来说,了解这些相互作用至关重要,这些国家旨在实现可靠的能源转型.
- 该理论模型为优化可持续能源系统政策设计提供了见解.
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